![Fat Tail Investment Research](/img/default-banner.jpg)
- 667
- 3 816 462
Fat Tail Investment Research
Australia
Приєднався 3 кві 2017
Welcome, I’m James Woodburn, the publisher.
What our editors and researchers look for each day are great ideas…ideas that stand the test of time.
Sometimes those ideas are mainstream. Sometimes they are not. When they’re not, they are especially important to you, our reader.
Why? Because it’s those ideas that are most valuable.
We’re on the edge. We’re the alternative financial press.
We are fiercely independent.
We don’t manage money or take a commission for selling other financial products. The only advertising we pass on is for our own research, and only because we think you might find it useful.
And it’s in this vein we explore the edges of the bell curve and report our findings to you…the ideas and recommendations we believe are the most compelling.
All advice is general in nature and has not taken into account your personal circumstances. Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment
What our editors and researchers look for each day are great ideas…ideas that stand the test of time.
Sometimes those ideas are mainstream. Sometimes they are not. When they’re not, they are especially important to you, our reader.
Why? Because it’s those ideas that are most valuable.
We’re on the edge. We’re the alternative financial press.
We are fiercely independent.
We don’t manage money or take a commission for selling other financial products. The only advertising we pass on is for our own research, and only because we think you might find it useful.
And it’s in this vein we explore the edges of the bell curve and report our findings to you…the ideas and recommendations we believe are the most compelling.
All advice is general in nature and has not taken into account your personal circumstances. Please seek independent financial advice regarding your own situation, or if in doubt about the suitability of an investment
Two Plays for the Coming 'Powell Pivot'
Stock markets within a whisker of all-time highs…credit spreads as tight as can be and employment at a level that would’ve been considered maximum employment for much of the last 50 years.
And yet… Over the weekend at the annual Federal Reserve pow-wow in Jackson Hole, Fed chief Jerome Powell just told us all rates are coming down.
And fast!
The question everyone is asking is, why?
In this video, tech expert Ryan Dinse explains what he sees coming next, as well as two investments to play the great ‘Powell pivot’…
To read Ryan's free e-newsletter and get Fat Tail Daily in your inbox each day, sign up here: daily.fattail.com.au/subscribe/join-fat-tail-daily/
-
Welcome to Fat Tail Investment Research, your source for fortifying and growing your wealth with insights from leading experts in finance and investing.
Join us each week as we roll out fresh videos, tapping into the expertise of top-notch specialists in investing, economics, the stock market, real estate, and personal finance, tailored specifically for our Australian investors.
Explore illuminating interviews and in-depth explainer videos unravelling the trends shaping today's Aussie markets, the economy, and your overall portfolio.
In these dynamic times, marked by economic shifts, record-low interest rates, growing debt, deficits, and unprecedented stimuli, navigating the evolving landscape is absolutely vital. The rules of investing are undergoing transformation, influencing the ASX, property markets, and various asset prices Down Under. The pressing question remains: Can markets prevail with a sustained ascent, or is a challenging reckoning unavoidable?
Let Fat Tail Investment Research be your guide in supporting your portfolio against the uncertainties of the future, whether it's inflation, deflation, a bull market, a bear market, a market correction, a property market shift, an economic boom, a downturn, or another global financial shake-up - our experts cover all conditions to support you.
Tap into the collective wisdom of the money and markets experts featured on Fat Tail Investment Research by heading to fattail.com.au
Subscribe to our UA-cam channel @FatTailInvestmentResearch
===============================
All content is © Fat Tail Investment Research Pty Ltd All Rights Reserved.
Financial Services Guide
======================================
Please keep this guide for future reference. A copy is available from us on request or can be downloaded from our website at fattail.com.au/financial-services-guide/. If you do not understand anything in it, or require more information, please feel free to contact us
IMPORTANT
===============================
We provide general financial product advice only. The advice published by Fat Tail Investment Research has been prepared without taking into account your objectives, financial situations or needs. Before acting on our recommendations, you should consider their appropriateness to your specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs. If you are uncertain as to what your objectives and needs are, you should contact a financial adviser or stockbroker who is licensed to provide you with personal financial product advice.
#Investing #Finance #bitcoin #ASX News
And yet… Over the weekend at the annual Federal Reserve pow-wow in Jackson Hole, Fed chief Jerome Powell just told us all rates are coming down.
And fast!
The question everyone is asking is, why?
In this video, tech expert Ryan Dinse explains what he sees coming next, as well as two investments to play the great ‘Powell pivot’…
To read Ryan's free e-newsletter and get Fat Tail Daily in your inbox each day, sign up here: daily.fattail.com.au/subscribe/join-fat-tail-daily/
-
Welcome to Fat Tail Investment Research, your source for fortifying and growing your wealth with insights from leading experts in finance and investing.
Join us each week as we roll out fresh videos, tapping into the expertise of top-notch specialists in investing, economics, the stock market, real estate, and personal finance, tailored specifically for our Australian investors.
Explore illuminating interviews and in-depth explainer videos unravelling the trends shaping today's Aussie markets, the economy, and your overall portfolio.
In these dynamic times, marked by economic shifts, record-low interest rates, growing debt, deficits, and unprecedented stimuli, navigating the evolving landscape is absolutely vital. The rules of investing are undergoing transformation, influencing the ASX, property markets, and various asset prices Down Under. The pressing question remains: Can markets prevail with a sustained ascent, or is a challenging reckoning unavoidable?
Let Fat Tail Investment Research be your guide in supporting your portfolio against the uncertainties of the future, whether it's inflation, deflation, a bull market, a bear market, a market correction, a property market shift, an economic boom, a downturn, or another global financial shake-up - our experts cover all conditions to support you.
Tap into the collective wisdom of the money and markets experts featured on Fat Tail Investment Research by heading to fattail.com.au
Subscribe to our UA-cam channel @FatTailInvestmentResearch
===============================
All content is © Fat Tail Investment Research Pty Ltd All Rights Reserved.
Financial Services Guide
======================================
Please keep this guide for future reference. A copy is available from us on request or can be downloaded from our website at fattail.com.au/financial-services-guide/. If you do not understand anything in it, or require more information, please feel free to contact us
IMPORTANT
===============================
We provide general financial product advice only. The advice published by Fat Tail Investment Research has been prepared without taking into account your objectives, financial situations or needs. Before acting on our recommendations, you should consider their appropriateness to your specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs. If you are uncertain as to what your objectives and needs are, you should contact a financial adviser or stockbroker who is licensed to provide you with personal financial product advice.
#Investing #Finance #bitcoin #ASX News
Переглядів: 322
Відео
Time to Prepare: Follow the Big Money
Переглядів 2,6 тис.4 години тому
Stocks have rapidly recovered after the recent crash in the Japanese Nikkei stock index. But there were lessons learned in the crash that investors need to be aware of. In today’s Closing Bell, I explain why the continued strength in the yen is a warning sign that all may not be well. I show you how the weakness in iron ore and oil is hinting that Chinese and US growth are on the cusp of more w...
Unlocking a 9% Dividend Yield Amid Market Volatility
Переглядів 2,5 тис.21 годину тому
Wondering if last week’s crash in Japanese stocks is already behind us? The market seems to have shrugged it off, but the underlying risks are still there. With the US economy possibly slowing down due to prolonged high interest rates, it’s time to consider defensive strategies. In today’s Closing Bell, I dive into the buy signal in US 10-year bonds and what it could mean for your portfolio. Pa...
Crash and a Bounce - What’s Next?
Переглядів 2,4 тис.14 днів тому
After a wild week in the markets, today’s Closing Bell dives into the recent market turmoil and what you should focus on next. We’re closely watching key levels in the S&P 500 and ASX 200 that must hold to keep the bullish trend alive. If these levels break, it could create a prime buying opportunity for savvy investors. This week’s market shakeup, sparked by the Bank of Japan’s rate hike, led ...
Back to ‘Normal’ or a Bigger Crisis Lurking?
Переглядів 1,4 тис.14 днів тому
In this follow-up to Monday's "The Hot Money Unwind: Market Shockwaves Explained," James Woodburn is joined by Greg Canavan and Ryan Dinse to analyse the aftermath of the recent market turbulence. While the markets seem to have shaken off the initial fear, the question remains: Is this the calm before another storm? Join us as we explore what's next for global markets and whether a bigger crisi...
The Hot Money Unwind: Market Shockwaves Explained
Переглядів 2,7 тис.21 день тому
It’s been a whirlwind three days in global markets. It all started on Friday when Japan’s central bank unexpectedly raised interest rates. This decision hit 'carry traders' hard, as they’ve been borrowing Yen at near-zero rates to invest in US Treasury Notes and tech stocks. Now, $4 trillion in borrowings just got a lot more expensive. Adding to the turmoil, US unemployment numbers came in high...
Closing Bell 150 Special: Copper's Buy Zone and ASX Trade Idea
Переглядів 5 тис.21 день тому
Today is Closing Bell 150! We celebrate with an actionable trade idea just for you. This week saw a strong rally early on, but it was snuffed out as the correction in US mega-cap tech stocks gathered steam. US bonds are rallying, and commodities have seen a sell-off. How should you navigate this? In this special Closing Bell, we'll discuss the long-term prospects for copper and why now might be...
Copper's Down, But Not Out as it Approaches Buy Zone
Переглядів 1,9 тис.28 днів тому
The Nasdaq got hit hard again this week, with money coming out of US mega-caps and heading towards smaller companies. But Australia isn’t seeing strong buying in small-caps because commodities remain under serious pressure. In today’s Closing Bell, Murray looks at the Nasdaq, copper, oil, zinc, lead, nickel, lithium, rare earths, and aluminium. The last week saw another round of selling in US m...
You Haven't Missed the Boat with Gold
Переглядів 1,9 тис.Місяць тому
In this episode of Closing Bell, Murray shows you what to expect if a serious correction in gold occurs and why corrections should be seen as buying opportunities now that gold is running hot and hitting new all-time highs. Key Takeaways: - How to handle corrections during this historic bull run in gold - Insights from the 2024 Noosa Mining conference. Investor Reactions - How the bull market i...
The Big Market Switch: Inflation Drops and Investors Shift Gears
Переглядів 1,7 тис.Місяць тому
Markets have gone sideways for four months waiting for signs that inflation was under control. The US inflation figures released on Wednesday confirmed that, and investors reacted swiftly, dumping safe haven mega-cap tech stocks and buying up small and mid-cap companies. In this episode of Closing Bell, Murray breaks down the major shift and explains why this is the moment to reassess your port...
As Oil, Copper and Gold Rally… After Two Years, This Stock is Showing Signs of Life
Переглядів 2 тис.Місяць тому
In today’s Closing Bell video we look at: - A comparison of the S&P 500 and the S&P 500 equal weighted index over the last 10 years. - How much impact a few of the biggest stocks are having on this rally and why this is known as low market breadth. - How far market breadth has fallen and explain why a lack of market breadth is a classic sign of a market that may be getting close to a major high...
Bounce Back Season: Two Stocks Primed for July Gains
Переглядів 3,4 тис.Місяць тому
Rejoice, for tax loss selling is over and the chance of a bounce back from beaten-up stocks is upon us. I'll show you two stocks that I think look ripe for some upside if a rally gets going. One is a $2.6bn gold stock and the other is a $480m tech stock that is a serious punt. Tax loss selling season is obviously more pronounced during weak market conditions. After two years of pain in the mid ...
The Trilogy Trade is up 12% in Two Weeks
Переглядів 1,5 тис.2 місяці тому
Oil has jumped 12% in two weeks from major support. Another jump higher in the short-term could trigger a buy signal that has worked six times out of six over the past few decades. In today’s Closing Bell Murray shows you the exciting set up in oil so you are prepared to act when the time comes. What Murray covers in today’s Closing Bell presentation: • Volatility in the market is plummeting as...
Invest Smarter: One Key Principle of Trading with Momentum
Переглядів 1,6 тис.2 місяці тому
Understanding momentum is crucial for successful trading. In today’s Closing Bell video, Murray Dawes shows you how to read weekly momentum in the ASX 200 using the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator. By analysing decades of data, Murray demonstrates how momentum can signal great opportunities and warn you when it’s waning, helping you make better investing decisions. Key Ta...
Position Your Portfolio: Bond Buy Signal and Gold Rally Insights
Переглядів 1,4 тис.2 місяці тому
Murray Dawes analyses the recent rate cuts by the Bank of Canada and the European Central Bank and their implications for bonds and gold. With signs of slowing growth in the US and Australia, the potential for interest rates to fall presents a unique opportunity to adjust your portfolio. Discover how to prepare for a bond buy signal and understand the current gold rally. Key Takeaways: - Bond B...
Market Pressure Building: Bearish Divergence Indicates Short-Term Sell-Off
Переглядів 1,9 тис.2 місяці тому
Market Pressure Building: Bearish Divergence Indicates Short-Term Sell-Off
Aussie Resource Sector: Time to Invest in Junior Mining Stocks?
Переглядів 2,8 тис.2 місяці тому
Aussie Resource Sector: Time to Invest in Junior Mining Stocks?
Copper and Gold: Navigating Short-Term Declines Within Long-Term Uptrends
Переглядів 2 тис.3 місяці тому
Copper and Gold: Navigating Short-Term Declines Within Long-Term Uptrends
Mastering Market Volatility: Strategies for Risk Management vs. Passive Investing
Переглядів 1,3 тис.3 місяці тому
Mastering Market Volatility: Strategies for Risk Management vs. Passive Investing
How Murray Dawes Predicted the Breakout in Uranium
Переглядів 4653 місяці тому
How Murray Dawes Predicted the Breakout in Uranium
The Next Breakout Sector No One is Talking About...
Переглядів 1 тис.3 місяці тому
The Next Breakout Sector No One is Talking About...
Unlocking Commodity Markets: How you Act on Before the Crowd Arrives
Переглядів 1,9 тис.3 місяці тому
Unlocking Commodity Markets: How you Act on Before the Crowd Arrives
Yen Intervention: Can the Bank of Japan stop the yen from collapsing?
Переглядів 1,7 тис.3 місяці тому
Yen Intervention: Can the Bank of Japan stop the yen from collapsing?
Slowing Growth and Rising Inflation: Signaling a Stagflation Storm in Markets
Переглядів 1,9 тис.3 місяці тому
Slowing Growth and Rising Inflation: Signaling a Stagflation Storm in Markets
How Current Events Are Shaping Commodity Prices and Stock Markets
Переглядів 1,9 тис.4 місяці тому
How Current Events Are Shaping Commodity Prices and Stock Markets
Navigating the ASX with Matthew Kidman: A Veteran's Guide to Small Cap Success
Переглядів 1,1 тис.4 місяці тому
Navigating the ASX with Matthew Kidman: A Veteran's Guide to Small Cap Success
Inflation Spooks but Gold Can’t be Stopped
Переглядів 2 тис.4 місяці тому
Inflation Spooks but Gold Can’t be Stopped
Oil Price Rally to End the Market’s Bull Run?
Переглядів 1,9 тис.4 місяці тому
Oil Price Rally to End the Market’s Bull Run?
Gold Stocks Lagging Behind: Ready for a Breakthrough?
Переглядів 3,3 тис.4 місяці тому
Gold Stocks Lagging Behind: Ready for a Breakthrough?
These Metals Are on the Rise as the US Dollar Wavers
Переглядів 2,2 тис.5 місяців тому
These Metals Are on the Rise as the US Dollar Wavers
Kaboom! Down only "real #gold real profit. Have a good weekend Murray.
Thanks for your analysis Murray its great. Im nervous of the markets at the moment so didnt jump on the 9% yielder.
Thanks Muz. Good insights as usual
thanks murray
Thanks Murray for your views based on good evidence.The breadth indicators on the US suggest the same narrow advance.
Just bought Ur book Fred, thanks for the video
Thanks Murray always enjoy your videos
Good perspective
UUUU / EFR all the way
Thank you Murray. You may have covered this previously in which case I am happy to be pointed to the material, but how do you identify the buy and sell pivots on the monthly chart? Thank you.
Thanks again for sharing your expertise.
Thank you Murray - great perspective. Thank you also for the reminder on false breakouts. However, one question; why would the Nikkei be sold off ? Does this make sense ? Would not repatriated Yen go into stocks ? Or maybe it is carry traders (not Japanese) scrambling for cash and selling everything ? I mean maybe it is wrong to assume the 'carry traders' are Japanese only. Global hedge funds and banks could be on to this 'easy money' gravy train, that we cannot. Would be great to have your views ....... thank you.
Good point / question
Thanks Muz, Really appreciate the valuble lessons in this one!
Brilliant Analysis
thanks murray
better update videos than fat prophets ,but james needs to get to the gym he used to be bigger is he having a bad hair day ? wearing a cap loss of confidence ? Greg hair looks good ,calm under pressure ,Ryan happy btc bounced but he not surprised overall good run down were going backwards every thing Vern said was right ,it pains me he was so arrogant that could not see that his prediction would be so wrong based on his own facts he fronted
this is good stuff
Thanks guys for following up on your post earlier this week,
If you're serious about improving your trading strategy and navigating market volatility, don't miss "THE LESSONS" - a special resource I’ve put together exclusively for Closing Bell viewers. It covers the six key secrets I’ve learned over 30+ years of trading that can dramatically enhance your market performance. 📈 Get access to THE LESSONS here ➡ pro.fattail.com.au/m/2348107
Congrats on the 150th closing bell clip. I do enjoy watching when ever I can get on, in time.
People want out NOW there is a total view that things are about to crash and fools have been trying to get it right by a week or even a day, now they are rushing the exits and are stuck in the crush and war /revolution is in the air world wide , they call it a 4th turning and you guy's waffling on is like spitting into a hurricane
Thank you for this update 🙏
Loved the episode! OncoSil's recent move above $0.012 caught my eye. Might be worth exploring in a future segment on healthcare stocks in the ASX.
Brian and Callum thoughts 🤔
Nice job gents. Good summary
All by design...everything happens for a reason..
Thanks Murray, these weekly videos are of the highest quality. Congratulations.
Thanks for sharing, your videos are great and yes I get something out of them so thanks again
Cu,Au Rush Murray &King W.B ready for shopping with 425B cash in hand :) How legacy from W.B
Thanks Murray for the tip on wire I will keep an eye on it and if the ETF drops to $11:25 I will buy and if I make enough money I will use it to pay for your services.
Keep going Muz. Love your detail, simplicity and style
Thanks Murray
A 30% return on copper (as a commodity) since 2008 is hardly a great return - compounding inflation - it doesn't actually beat the CPI (and devaluation of the AUD as a currency)....
I'm puzzled too
Thanks Murrary!
Murray as always your content is top notch and your approach is something I really trust.
Regis disappointing yet again - a serial offender
I can confidently say I’ve watched every one of the 150- some more than once. Thanks for your generosity Muzz. I look forward to the next 150 mate. Compulsory viewing!
Congrats on the 150 episodes mate. Love your work 👌👏👏
Thanks Murray for another fabulous video. Have a great weekend mate!
To celebrate Closing Bell 150, get access to THE LESSONS-a guide with over 30 years of market wisdom, distilled into six key secrets. 👉 Check out THE LESSONS here: pro.fattail.com.au/m/2346345
Well presented thanks, especially the hand drawn lines, which are very helpful. A frank transparent review of Trading View would be appreciated if possible, given a recent 2.9 star rating (too low to ignore), together with a large number of mostly negative comments. That begs the question as to why you have appeared to have settled on it as an analysis platform. TIA David
Love it as always mate. Yes please another deep dive into copper would be great. Your channel is certainly deserves a re-rate. Because of all the info you collate.
Look at the long term trend line on Nickel going back to Jan 16. Just join the low points. Its likely due a bounce soon, otherwise it could get very ugly indeed. Thanks as always Murray.
I would love more in-depth coverage of the widening distributions you referred to, and other foundational topics of interest.
Great overview and analysis. Maybe we could look at silver soon. Would really appreciate a tutorial on setting up Fibonacci bands in Trading View.
Copper sentiment <20 for 3 days, very much out of favour,
Copper very interesting long term, any thoughts on Aussie explorers / producers, HGO Hillgrove Resources small cap
The way you look at the markets with technical analysis is great and I look forward to your video each week so Thankyou for sharing. Keep the technical analysis comments coming.
Carbon dioxide is the gas of life! Without it, life can't exit.
Hi Murray - thank you. One thing to revisit is maybe the Japanese Yen / Bonds, and your thoughts on what may happen if there is a global rate cut cycle starting. Is IJP worth a look at ? Also more generally, you do not mention trading volume at all in your analysis. Do you take this into account in any way to support or not a trend, or do you rely only on price action ? If volume is considered which time frame should one look at, monthly, weekly, daily .....